Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.643607 0.827248 1.034260 1.282121 1.568059 1.884937 2.259976
2025-08-10 0.381826 0.605371 0.891367 1.271215 1.749804 2.320855 3.041544
2025-08-17 0.213658 0.431783 0.751615 1.221399 1.861765 2.674399 3.753221
2025-08-24 0.136398 0.350715 0.706951 1.276006 2.100463 3.195042 4.700726
2025-08-31 0.079000 0.271410 0.638821 1.277467 2.257598 3.612961 5.536050
2025-09-07 0.052042 0.234749 0.627759 1.357862 2.527420 4.192634 6.606965
2025-09-14 0.031881 0.198110 0.604235 1.409924 2.753758 4.718823 7.623481
2025-09-21 0.017500 0.162207 0.569422 1.433433 2.932538 5.180834 8.564425
2025-09-28 0.007488 0.123985 0.514361 1.407993 3.025757 5.517044 9.336047
2025-10-05 0.003274 0.102286 0.490078 1.434812 3.202927 5.981216 10.299391
2025-10-12 0.001043 0.082191 0.460871 1.445073 3.349217 6.400673 11.206761
2025-10-19 0.000101 0.059647 0.411437 1.402175 3.395908 6.664440 11.890795
2025-10-26 NaN 0.042208 0.367742 1.365033 3.452329 6.950704 12.625948
2025-11-02 NaN 0.032221 0.345260 1.373089 3.591851 7.374315 13.577997
2025-11-09 NaN 0.021207 0.305886 1.330211 3.629450 7.632196 14.285301
2025-11-16 NaN 0.018191 0.306887 1.393163 3.876684 8.242345 15.543020
2025-11-23 NaN 0.013096 0.287897 1.397291 4.005885 8.658781 16.510883
2025-11-30 NaN 0.012006 0.297361 1.484111 4.307028 9.372141 17.951313
2025-12-07 NaN 0.009996 0.296512 1.540145 4.547073 9.987343 19.249200
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007483 0.286185 1.565486 4.723863 10.498375 20.392552
2025-12-21 NaN 0.004502 0.260976 1.538633 4.787619 10.815337 21.235440
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003222 0.253343 1.567228 4.971094 11.343704 22.420319
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002058 0.241323 1.578178 5.115534 11.805822 23.505589